Multi-Site Industrial Fleet

Fleet Decision Case: Prioritizing
38 Rotating Assets Without Increasing Risk

SimGen assessed a mixed fleet of bearings, turbines, and compressors using real industrial datasets. Result: 58% cleared to continue operation, 42% flagged for intervention—with defensible evidence for every decision.

Real-world data from XJTU-SY, C-MAPSS, and AirCompressor datasets

Fleet Decision Summary

Out of 38 assets, 1 required immediate action, 15 required investigation, and 22 were deemed safe to continue operating without increased risk.

22
Continue (58%)
15
Investigate (39%)
1
Immediate Action (3%)
38
Total Assets

The Fleet Decision Problem

Fleet Composition

  • Bearings: 15 units (XJTU-SY dataset)
  • Turbines: 15 units (C-MAPSS FD001)
  • Compressors: 8 units (AirCompressor)
  • Operating conditions: Multiple regimes

The Challenge

  • Traditional alerts: 60-70% flagged
  • Maintenance capacity: Limited crews
  • Budget: Cannot inspect everything
  • Requirement: Defensible prioritization

The Problem

Traditional condition monitoring generates alerts on 60-70% of assets. Maintenance teams can't respond to everything. Which ones actually need intervention? And more importantly— how do you defend the decision to NOT intervene on the others?

The Result

Conventional monitoring flagged 26 assets as high concern (70%). SimGen reduced this to 16 actionable assets—a 38% reduction in unnecessary interventions, with defensible evidence for every "Continue" decision.

How SimGen Assessed the Fleet

Physics-Based Operators

RMS energy, stability indicator, crest factor, and spectral indicators computed from raw vibration data—not arbitrary thresholds.

Equipment-Specific Patterns

TYPE A for bearings, TYPE B for compressors, MIXED for turbines. Each equipment class has its own physics.

Decision Operators

ROR (Regime Occupancy), SDI (Signed Degradation), and Stability Margin determine defensible run/stop decisions.

Decision Logic

CONTINUE
Stability > 50%
Operation is defensible
INVESTIGATE
Stability 25-50%
Requires investigation
IMMEDIATE ACTION
Stability < 25%
PNR threshold crossed

Fleet Risk Map

Every asset plotted by its decision operators. Position determines action priority. This is the core visualization that enables fleet-wide prioritization.

ROR vs Stability Margin

38 assets assessed from real industrial datasets

Fleet Risk Map showing 38 assets plotted by ROR vs Stability Margin, color-coded by equipment type and decision

Click to enlarge

How to read this chart: Assets in the upper-right quadrant exhibit frequent degraded operation (high ROR) and proximity to irreversible failure (low stability margin). These assets were prioritized for action. Assets in the lower-left are healthy and defensibly cleared for continued operation.

Decision Distribution

Breakdown by equipment type and decision category

Fleet Decision Summary showing distribution of Continue, Investigate, and Immediate Action across equipment types

Click to enlarge

Fleet Decisions by Equipment Type

Equipment TypeCountContinueInvestigateImmediatePattern
Bearings (XJTU-SY)151320TYPE A
Turbines (C-MAPSS)15690MIXED
Compressors8341TYPE B
Total3822151

Priority Assets Requiring Action

1
COMP-PISTON
CompressorBelow PNR threshold
Immediate Action
Stability: 18.2% • ROR: 0.82
2
ENG-13_95%
TurbineLate-stage lifecycle
Investigate
Stability: 28.4% • ROR: 0.72
3
ENG-7_95%
TurbineApproaching PNR
Investigate
Stability: 31.2% • ROR: 0.69
4
COMP-NRV
CompressorValve degradation
Investigate
Stability: 33.8% • ROR: 0.66
5
ENG-9_95%
TurbineSensor degradation
Investigate
Stability: 35.1% • ROR: 0.65

Why This Did Not Increase Risk

This assessment did not increase operational risk because:

Equipment-specific physics (TYPE A/B/MIXED) were enforced

Bearings follow TYPE A degradation patterns. Compressors follow TYPE B. Turbines exhibit MIXED behavior. Each asset was assessed using the physics appropriate to its equipment class—not a generic threshold.

All decisions passed negative-control and confound tests

Every assessment includes validation: shuffle tests confirm signal integrity, confound checks rule out load/temperature artifacts, and pattern consistency tests verify fault signatures match expected behavior.

No asset classified as "Continue" crossed a critical threshold

During the observation window, every asset marked "Continue" maintained stability margin above 50%. None approached the Point of No Return. The 22 cleared assets are genuinely healthy—not borderline cases being ignored.

Data Quality

PASS

All 38 assets validated. No gaps or sensor anomalies.

Pattern Consistency

PASS

Equipment-specific fault patterns confirmed across types.

Decision Reproducibility

PASS

Same methodology yields same decisions. No manual overrides.

Financial Impact

Without Prioritization

Assets flagged by conventional alerts~26 (70%)
Inspection cost per asset$8,000
Unnecessary inspections~10 assets
Wasted inspection budget$80,000

With SimGen Prioritization

Assets requiring intervention16 (42%)
Inspection cost per asset$8,000
Inspections avoided10 assets
Budget saved$80,000
Key Insight
58% of assets cleared with defensible evidence
Every "Continue" decision backed by physics-based stability analysis—not arbitrary thresholds

Download the Fleet Evidence Package

Fleet Evidence Package: 38 Assets

Complete fleet assessment including decision summary, equipment breakdown, priority list, and validation evidence. This is the deliverable format—ready for engineering review, management presentation, or audit documentation.

January 2026Version 4.4HTML Format

Why This Matters

This case demonstrates fleet-level prioritization authority. Not just "which assets have alerts" but "which assets actually need intervention—and which can defensibly continue operating."

Traditional condition monitoring flags 60-70% of assets. Maintenance teams can't respond to everything. The result is either (a) wasted inspections on healthy equipment, or (b) risk exposure from ignoring real problems buried in the noise.

SimGen's physics-based approach separates the signal from the noise. The 22 assets cleared for continued operation aren't being ignored—they're being defended. Every "Continue" has documented evidence. When the audit happens, you have answers.

See the Single-Asset Case Study

How SimGen assessed one bearing in detail—from early warning to planned replacement.

View Single-Asset Case

Need Fleet-Wide Prioritization?

When your condition monitoring flags everything but your budget can't inspect everything— get defensible prioritization based on physics, not thresholds.