When continued operation is no longer defensible, we say so — and prove it.
SimGen provides independent operational risk determinations for rotating industrial equipment.
We support shutdown, maintenance, and derating decisions with audit-grade evidence — not alerts or predictions.
Engagements are independent. We do not sell monitoring software.
How we classify operational risk
From stability margin to actionable decision
Normal
Continue
Operational Risk
Monitor
Decision Boundary
Investigate
Irreversible
Shutdown
Stability Margin
Dynamic buffer assessment
Regime Occupancy
Time in degraded state
Point of No Return
Irreversibility detection
$M+
Avoided forced outage cost
Weeks
Early detection horizon
High
False alarm immunity
Yes
Audit-ready evidence
Zero
Retraining required
Most condition monitoring answers the wrong question.
Dashboards and alerts show anomalies.
Determinations estimate failure timing.
But when something goes wrong, the real question is:
"Why was this machine still running?"
Most systems cannot answer that — and cannot defend the decision afterward.
We determine whether continued operation is defensible.
SimGen evaluates:
- Whether an asset remains dynamically stable
- How often it operates in a degraded regime
- Whether an irreversible degradation boundary has been crossed
- Whether risk can be reduced through operational changes
Our output is a clear determination, not a probability.
What makes this different
| Typical PdM | SimGen |
|---|---|
| Alerts & thresholds | Defensible decisions |
| ML determinations | Physics-aware stability analysis |
| Retraining required | Zero-shot transfer |
| Black-box outputs | Audit-safe rationale |
| "Something changed" | "Stop / run / derate — and why" |
Validated across critical rotating equipment
Our framework has been validated across 38,000+ samples spanning multiple independent datasets.
Analysis is equipment-specific. We do not apply the wrong physics to the wrong machine.
Every SimGen engagement produces a signed Evidence Report
Example outcome
A bearing asset showed no critical alarms under conventional monitoring. SimGen identified loss of stability and a crossed point-of-no-return. Continued operation was deemed indefensible.
Result:
- Planned shutdown instead of forced failure
- Clear justification provided to operations and management
- Evidence preserved for audit and post-incident review
Engagements
Independent Equipment Risk Determination
$35k–$60k
per asset
Site / Fleet Risk Assessment
$90k–$200k
10–50 assets
Ongoing Operational Risk Authority
$150k–$400k
annual retainer
Pricing reflects independence, depth of analysis, and decision responsibility.
SimGen is a founder-led consultancy. All assessments are conducted directly by the person who developed the methodology. Engagements are intentionally limited.